- Merrimack is a -4.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
- Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
- Merrimack / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+
The Merrimack Warriors visit Fairfield University Convocation Center to take on the Fairfield Stags on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fairfield, CT, USA.
Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-102).
The Merrimack vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 133.5 total points.
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Merrimack vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Merrimack | -4.5 -102 | O 133.5 -115 | -185 |
| Fairfield | +4.5 -118 | U 133.5 -105 | +150 |
Merrimack vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Merrimack vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence for today’s game.
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Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+12.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 18 away games (+2.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
Fairfield Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+0.85 Units / 2% ROI)
- Fairfield have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 19 games at home (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Merrimack has a 9-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 22.26% ROI
- 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.62% ROI
- 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10.53% ROI
Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Fairfield has a 8-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3 Units / -15.15% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -20.51% ROI
- 9-8 when betting the Over for +0.2 Units / 1.01% ROI
- 8-9 when betting the Under for -1.9 Units / -9.6% ROI
Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has averaged 5.9 offensive rebounds per game (112 rebounds/19 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.3
Merrimack has 13.2 free throw attempts per game this season — 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.4
Merrimack has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/19 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Merrimack has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (181 turnovers/19 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9
Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Fairfield has attempted 1,321 threes since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among MAAC Teams
Fairfield has an eFG% of 47% this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Fairfield has made 8.4 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Merrimack has averaged 20.5 defensive rebounds per game (390 rebounds/19 games) this season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Merrimack has averaged 9.2 steals per game (471 steals/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Merrimack has averaged 21.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,094 rebounds/51 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:
Fairfield has averaged 20.1 defensive rebounds per game (382 rebounds/19 games) this season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Fairfield has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,158 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Fairfield stole the ball 296 times last season — most among MAAC Teams
Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
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