Merrimack vs Marist Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 6

Marist Red Foxes' head coach John Dunne gives instructions from the side line during an NCAA basketball game between Maine Black Bears and Marist Red Foxes at the O2 Arena, in London, Sunday, Dec.4, 2022.
(AP Photo/Ian Walton)
  • Marist is a -1.5 point favorite vs Merrimack
  • Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
  • Merrimack / Marist TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit McCann Arena to take on the Marist Red Foxes on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Poughkeepsie, NY, USA.

Marist is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Merrimack vs. Marist Over/Under is 126.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Marist Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack+1.5 -120O 126.5 -118-105
Marist -1.5 +100U 126.5 -102-115

Merrimack vs Marist Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 69.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Marist Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Marist will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Marist has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Marist has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Marist has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.5 Units / -13.68% ROI).

  • 16-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -3.5% ROI
  • 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.8 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Marist Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marist has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.5 Units / -18.52% ROI).

  • 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 16.83% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Over for -4.45 Units / -15.01% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 6.05% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (262 turnovers/30 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Merrimack has 14.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Merrimack has averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (186 rebounds/30 games) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack has averaged 8.7 turnovers per game (262 turnovers/30 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Marist Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marist averaged 6.2 offensive rebounds per game (181 rebounds/29 games) last season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 8.9

Marist has 13.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 16.9

Marist has averaged 11.0 turnovers per game (296 turnovers/27 games) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Marist has averaged 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (236 rebounds/27 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 20.2 defensive rebounds per game (605 rebounds/30 games) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Merrimack has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (371/1,181) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Marist Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marist has averaged 24.7 defensive rebounds per game (666 rebounds/27 games) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.3

Marist allowed 62.0 points per game (1,797 points/29 games) last season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 70.0

Marist has averaged 5.7 steals per game (154 steals/27 games) this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Marist averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (684 rebounds/29 games) last season — 5th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.