Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

• Merrimack is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mount St. Mary’s
• Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
• Merrimack / Mount St. Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Knott Arena to take on the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Emmitsburg, MD.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary’s Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Mount St. Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 65.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Mount St. Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence for today’s game.

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Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
• Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.50 Units / 12% ROI)
• Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
• Merrimack have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 37 games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+5.05 Units / 12% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games (+4.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 37 games (+2.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 14-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.1 Units / 16.17% ROI).

• 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.05 Units / 23.54% ROI
• 6-17 when betting the Over for -12.7 Units / -50.2% ROI
• 17-6 when betting the Under for +10.4 Units / 41.11% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 3.95% ROI).

• 9-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.05 Units / -15.71% ROI
• 7-16 when betting the Over for -10.6 Units / -41.9% ROI
• 16-7 when betting the Under for +8.3 Units / 32.81% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 6.6 offensive rebounds per game (572 rebounds/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (207 turnovers/22 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Merrimack has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (358 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.2

Merrimack has 20.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.4 turnovers per game (355 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.4 turnovers per game (355 turnovers/23 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.4 turnovers per game (355 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.4 turnovers per game (355 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed 65.8 points per game (5,726 points/87 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.0

Merrimack has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (508/1,644) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack has allowed 65.9 points per game (3,622 points/55 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.5

Merrimack has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (544/1,351) this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,447/3,547) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8

Mount St. Mary’s averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

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