- Merrimack is a -7.5 point favorite vs Niagara
- Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
- Merrimack / Niagara TV channel: ESPN+
The Merrimack Warriors visit Gallagher Center to take on the Niagara Purple Eagles on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Lewiston, NY.
Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-118).
The Merrimack vs. Niagara Over/Under is 127.5 total points.
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Merrimack vs. Niagara Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Merrimack | -7.5 -118 | O 127.5 -115 | -400 |
| Niagara | +7.5 -102 | U 127.5 -105 | +300 |
Merrimack vs Niagara Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 65.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Merrimack vs Niagara Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 55.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.15 Units / 31% ROI)
Niagara Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Niagara have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Niagara has hit the Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Niagara has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games at home (+3.90 Units / 130% ROI)
- Niagara has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Niagara has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Merrimack has a 19-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.9 Units / 20.88% ROI).
- 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.9 Units / 19.24% ROI
- 10-20 when betting the Over for -12 Units / -36.36% ROI
- 20-10 when betting the Under for +9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Niagara Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Niagara has a 12-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.65 Units / -18.28% ROI).
- 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -33.39% ROI
- 13-15 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI
- 15-13 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (609 rebounds/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Merrimack has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (194 rebounds/29 games) this season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Merrimack has averaged 10.1 turnovers per game (951 turnovers/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Niagara Offensive Stats & Trends:
Niagara had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%
Niagara averaged 1.32 points per shot (2,239 points/1,698 shots) last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Niagara has averaged 63.6 points per game (1,780 points/28 games) this season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 70.7
Niagara averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (208 rebounds/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 8.9
Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:
Merrimack has allowed 65.7 points per game (6,173 points/94 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.0
Merrimack has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4
Merrimack has allowed 65.6 points per game (4,069 points/62 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.4
Merrimack has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (548/1,773) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Niagara Defensive Stats & Trends:
Niagara allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8
Niagara allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Niagara has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (290 turnovers/28 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 11.1
Niagara averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
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