Merrimack vs Rider Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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  • Merrimack is a -8.5 point favorite vs Rider
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Merrimack / Rider TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Alumni Gymnasium to take on the Rider Broncs on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Lawrenceville, NJ.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Merrimack vs. Rider Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Rider Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack-8.5 -115O 137.5 -115-450
Rider +8.5 -105U 137.5 -105+340

Merrimack vs Rider Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 72.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Rider Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Merrimack will cover the spread with 57.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+3.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Rider have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Rider has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 15-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.1 Units / 19.28% ROI).

  • 15-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 25.46% ROI
  • 7-17 when betting the Over for -11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI
  • 17-7 when betting the Under for +9.3 Units / 35.23% ROI

Rider Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Rider has a 7-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.25 Units / -31.45% ROI).

  • 2-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.5 Units / -68.75% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting the Over for -8.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting the Under for +6.3 Units / 27.27% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 7.0 offensive rebounds per game (161 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5

Merrimack has averaged 9.4 turnovers per game (217 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Merrimack had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (168 assists/ 185 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Merrimack has averaged 6.5 offensive rebounds per game (576 rebounds/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Rider Offensive Stats & Trends:

Rider has made 5.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Rider has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (224 assists/ 244 TOs) this season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Rider made 5.4 three-pointers per game last season — lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Rider averaged 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (301 rebounds/28 games) last season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 8.9

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has allowed 65.9 points per game (5,796 points/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.1

Merrimack has averaged 18.9 defensive rebounds per game (434 rebounds/23 games) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack has averaged 20.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,810 rebounds/88 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Rider Defensive Stats & Trends:

Rider allowed 7.7 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 6.8

Rider allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (215/637) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Rider allowed opponents to shoot 42% (698/1,641) last season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Rider averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (705 rebounds/28 games) last season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.