Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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Pittsburgh head coach Jeff Capel questions a call during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Clemson in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 7, 2023.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 11:57 AM
  • Miami (FL) (16-4) are -1.5 point favorites vs Pittsburgh (14-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 147.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPNU

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (16-4) visit Petersen Events Center to take on the Pittsburgh Panthers (14-7) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Pittsburgh.

Miami (FL) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh Over/Under is 147.5 total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)-1.5 -105147.5 -110-120
Pittsburgh +1.5 -115147.5 -110+100

Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 52.2% confidence.

Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Pittsburgh will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Miami (FL) and Pittsburgh, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Miami has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 46 games (+28.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 23 away games (+14.60 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+7.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+19.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has gone 12-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.25 Units / 14.84% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.7 Units / 13.79% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -18.64% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.2 Units / 10% ROI

Pittsburgh Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Pittsburgh has gone 14-7 against the spread this college basketball season (+6.3 Units / 27.33% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Over for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Under for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has an eFG% of 54% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Miami (FL) is shooting 47% (1,579/3,324) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Miami (FL) is shooting 48% (568/1,188) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Miami (FL) has averaged 1.32 points per shot (1,563 points/1,188 shots) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh is shooting 39% (568/1,450) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Pittsburgh has attempted 552 threes this season — most among ACC Teams

Pittsburgh has made 9.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Pittsburgh has attempted 271 threes in the second half this season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has averaged 8.6 steals per game (216 steals/25 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (1,498/3,342) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 39th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Miami (FL) has 480 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 45% (853/1,900) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends:

Pittsburgh has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (570 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.4 steals per game (113 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.4 steals per game (113 steals/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Pittsburgh has averaged 5.2 steals per game (104 steals/20 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.