Miami (FL) vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Virginia is a -7.5 point favorite vs Miami (FL)
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Miami (FL) / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Miami (FL)+7.5 -110O 145.5 -115+260
Virginia -7.5 -110U 145.5 -105-325

Miami (FL) vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Virginia will win this college basketball game with 74.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Miami (FL) vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) had 15.1 free throw attempts per game last season — 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Miami (FL) is shooting 65% from the free throw line (155/239) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Miami (FL) is shooting 51% (794/1,570) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 46%

Miami (FL) averaged 25% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (468 free throw attempts/1,878 field goal attempts) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (474 assists/ 255 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (309/826) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) has allowed 9.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (504/1,339) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (281/699) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia has allowed 60.0 points per game (3,299 points/55 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 69.6


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