Michigan vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
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  • Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs Duke
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Michigan / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Michigan Wolverines visit Capital One Arena to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Washington, D.C., DC.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Duke Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan-2.5 -110O 150.5 -110-150
Duke +2.5 -110U 150.5 -110+125

Michigan vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Duke vs Michigan and all games with BetMGM


  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 1.47 points per shot (2,356 points/1,600 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Michigan is shooting 51% (822/1,600) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Michigan has an eFG% of 59% this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Michigan has averaged 46.0 points per game (1,196 points/26 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.2

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (1,138 assists/ 638 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (839 assists/ 504 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,637 assists/ 985 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (581 assists/ 320 TOs) in the first half since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,788 points/1,677 shots) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (623/1,677) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (4,432 points/4,017 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (1,413 points/1,269 shots) this season — tied for best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.33

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (6,406 points/5,800 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Duke has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,475/3,806) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Duke has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (6,406 points/5,800 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Duke has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (841 points/748 shots) in the second half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.29


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