Michigan vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:25 AM
  • Illinois (19-10) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Michigan (17-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Michigan Wolverines (17-12) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (19-10) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Champaign.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Michigan vs. Illinois Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+4.5 -110O 144.5 -110+175
Illinois -4.5 -110U 144.5 -110-210

Michigan vs Illinois Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 55.7% confidence.

Michigan vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.6% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan and Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+9.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has gone 15-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.7 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 2.87% ROI
  • 16-13 when betting the Over for +1.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
  • 13-16 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -14.44% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI).

  • 13-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -9.15% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (287 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/22 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Michigan is shooting 36% from three (91/253) in the first half this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois has averaged 7.0 turnovers per game (153 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (179/564) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (179/564) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,495 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (274 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (274 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (152 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (3,611 points/3,248 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,868 points/1,589 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Illinois has allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.