Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

(AP Photo)
  • Michigan State is a -8.5 point favorite vs Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Michigan / Michigan State TV channel: CBS

The Michigan Wolverines visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in East Lansing, MI, USA.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-102).

The Michigan vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+8.5 -118O 146.5 -105+290
Michigan State -8.5 -102U 146.5 -115-375

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.40 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+14.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.08 Units / 15% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 12-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.95 Units / -23.98% ROI).

  • 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 1.76% ROI
  • 16-14 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 1.51% ROI
  • 14-16 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -10.67% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 22-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+13.2 Units / 40.06% ROI).

  • 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.2 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 10-20 when betting the Over for -12.05 Units / -36.46% ROI
  • 20-10 when betting the Under for +9 Units / 27.31% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (431 turnovers/30 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (221 assists/ 201 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (482 assists/ 431 TOs) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has averaged 6.7 turnovers per game (201 turnovers/30 games) in the second half this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.2

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 28% from three (87/313) in the first half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (513 assists/ 347 TOs) this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State has made 5.8 three-pointers per game this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State is shooting 30% from three (174/582) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (285 steals/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 5.2 steals per game (145 steals/28 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.0

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (2,142 points/1,886 shots) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (144/515) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (205/719) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (205/719) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%


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