Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

Northwestern head coach Chris Collins coaches against Rutgers during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Sunday, March 5, 2023 in Piscataway, N.J. Northwestern won 65-53. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
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  • Michigan is a -15.5 point favorite vs Northwestern
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Michigan / Northwestern TV channel: BTN

The Michigan Wolverines visit Welsh-Ryan Arena to take on the Northwestern Wildcats on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30 pm in Evanston, IL.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-105).

The Michigan vs. Northwestern Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan-15.5 -105O 153.5 -105-1600
Northwestern +15.5 -115U 153.5 -115+850

Michigan vs Northwestern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this college basketball game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Northwestern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 59.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.95 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+6.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI).

  • 21-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -0.41% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.3% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.1 Units / 16.21% ROI

Northwestern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northwestern has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.25 Units / -20% ROI).

  • 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -0.47% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan is shooting 52% (383/735) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Michigan is shooting 51% (731/1,424) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Michigan has averaged 46.7 points per game (1,073 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 37.4

Michigan has averaged 91.0 points per game (2,092 points/23 games) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 78.7

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (397 assists/ 194 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (397 assists/ 194 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Northwestern has averaged 8.4 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Northwestern has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,374 assists/ 813 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (1,577 points/1,480 shots) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (546/1,480) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (546/1,480) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (4,221 points/3,820 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northwestern averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (736 rebounds/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Northwestern has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (251/817) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Northwestern allowed 69.3 points per game (2,218 points/32 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Northwestern has averaged 23.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,287 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.