Michigan vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 17

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Feb. 16, 2021, Purdue plays against Michigan State at Mackey Arena during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in West Lafayette, Ind. Mackey Arena is one of six venues hosting NCAA Tournament games later this week.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
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  • Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs Purdue
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Michigan / Purdue TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in West Lafayette, IN.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Purdue Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Michigan vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this college basketball game with 51.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.75 Units / 20% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 23-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -0.26% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.5 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.55% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 12-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / -8.36% ROI).

  • 21-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 0.78% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan is shooting 51% (792/1,543) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Michigan has an eFG% of 59% this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Michigan has averaged 1.47 points per shot (2,265 points/1,543 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Michigan has a TS% of 53% this season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (496 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Purdue has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (496 assists/ 233 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue averaged 18.6 assists per game (690 assists/37 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,708 points/1,608 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (596/1,608) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (196/673) this season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (830/2,189) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 42%

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Purdue forced 9.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.