- Michigan State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Iowa
- Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
- Michigan State / Iowa TV channel: FS1
The Michigan State Spartans visit Carver-Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Iowa City, IA, IA, USA.
Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-118).
The Michigan State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 151.5 total points.
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Michigan State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Michigan State | -6.5 -118 | O 151.5 -110 | -300 |
| Iowa | +6.5 -102 | U 151.5 -110 | +240 |
Michigan State vs Iowa Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Michigan State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 35 games (+14.50 Units / 2% ROI)
- Michigan State have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.23 Units / 8% ROI)
Iowa Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+3.40 Units / 0% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+2.00 Units / 0% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Michigan State has a 21-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+12.2 Units / 38.36% ROI).
- 24-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.2 Units / 1.95% ROI
- 9-20 when betting the Over for -13.05 Units / -40.85% ROI
- 20-9 when betting the Under for +10.1 Units / 31.71% ROI
Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Iowa has a 10-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.7 Units / -27.32% ROI).
- 15-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -0.16% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4
Michigan State has made 6.2 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.8
Michigan State is shooting 79% from the free throw line (502/633) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%
Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (593 assists/ 315 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (530 assists/ 292 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Iowa had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (593 assists/ 315 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3
Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (1,123 assists/ 607 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (196/696) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (135/492) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (196/696) this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (486/1,213) this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%
Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:
Iowa averaged 6.8 steals per game (226 steals/33 games) last season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Iowa has allowed an average of 1.42 points per shot (1,955 points/1,373 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.29
Iowa stole the ball 226 times last season — 5th most among Big 10 Teams
Iowa has allowed 83.6 points per game (1,672 points/20 games) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.2
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