Michigan State vs Kansas State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 23, 2023, 10:47 AM
  • Michigan State (21-12) is a Michigan St -1.5 point favorite vs Kansas State (25-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 137.5 points
  • Watch the game on TBS

The Michigan State Spartans (21-12) visit Madison Square Garden to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (25-9) on Mar. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT in New York.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Michigan State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 137.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State-1.5 -115O 137.5 -110-130
Kansas State +1.5 -105U 137.5 -110+110

Michigan State vs Kansas State Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this March Madness game with 55.1% confidence.

Michigan State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games (+14.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 39 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+18.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 14 games at home (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 17-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI).

  • 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 8.96% ROI
  • 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.44% ROI
  • 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -1.65% ROI

Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kansas State has gone 22-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 23-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.9 Units / 19.4% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting the Under for -3.8 Units / -10.16% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (153/404) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (415/1,097) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (329 assists/ 243 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Kansas State has a TS% of 54% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Kansas State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (756 points/576 shots) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Kansas St. made 46 three-pointers on right wing attemps last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (110 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan State has forced 9.6 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (87/312) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7

Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4

Kansas St. allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (71/251) in the second half last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 31%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.