Michigan State vs Marquette Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 19

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 19, 2023, 11:47 AM
  • Marquette (29-6) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Michigan State (20-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Michigan State Spartans (20-12) visit Nationwide Arena to take on the Marquette Golden Eagles (29-6) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 5:15pm EDT in Columbus.

Marquette is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Michigan State vs. Marquette Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Marquette Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+3.5 -115O 139.5 -110+135
Marquette -3.5 -105U 139.5 -110-160

Michigan State vs Marquette Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Marquette will win this March Madness game with 55.6% confidence.

Michigan State vs Marquette Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Marquette will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Marquette, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 37 games (+13.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 49 games (+33.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Marquette has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Marquette have covered the 1H Spread in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 16-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -4.54% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 7.02% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Marquette Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Marquette has gone 23-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+9.85 Units / 25.62% ROI).

  • 26-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.15 Units / 17.8% ROI
  • 17-18 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -7.27% ROI
  • 18-17 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -1.82% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (415/1,097) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (329 assists/ 243 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan State has a 25% free throw rate (320 free throw attempts/1,266 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Marquette Offensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has averaged 18.2 assists per game (419 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Marquette has averaged 18.2 assists per game (419 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Marquette has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (419 assists/ 253 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Marquette has an eFG% of 57% this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 51%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan State has forced 10.1 turnovers per game (587 turnovers/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (186/597) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Marquette Defensive Stats & Trends:

Marquette has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (370 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Marquette has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (370 turnovers/23 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Marquette has averaged 9.4 steals per game (216 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Marquette has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (370 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 13.1


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