Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
  • Maryland is a -3.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Michigan State / Maryland TV channel: BTN

The Michigan State Spartans visit Xfinity Center to take on the Maryland Terrapins on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in College Park, MD, USA.

Maryland is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Michigan State vs. Maryland Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+3.5 -105O 149.5 -110+145
Maryland -3.5 -115U 149.5 -110-175

Michigan State vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan State have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 34 games (+10.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 20 games at home (+8.95 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games (+6.97 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 19-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.2 Units / 34.46% ROI).

  • 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.55 Units / 1.62% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting the Over for -10.85 Units / -36.47% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting the Under for +8.1 Units / 27.32% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 14-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.85 Units / 2.86% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.85 Units / 1.89% ROI
  • 18-9 when betting the Over for +8.1 Units / 27.18% ROI
  • 9-18 when betting the Under for -10.7 Units / -36.15% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 30% from three (152/513) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State has made 5.6 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland shot 28% from three (188/660) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland had a TS% of 44% last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Maryland averaged 10.8 assists per game (334 assists/31 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 14.4

Maryland had an eFG% of 47% last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (187/644) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (126/440) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State allowed 66.2 points per game (2,252 points/34 games) last season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (83/291) in the second half this season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has 201 steals this season — 4th most among Big 10 Teams

Maryland allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game last season — 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Maryland allowed 66.1 points per game (2,049 points/31 games) last season — 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Maryland has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (971 points/816 shots) in the second half this season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.