Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 18, 2023, 2:23 PM
  • Michigan (14-12) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Michigan State (16-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Watch the game on FOX

The Michigan State Spartans (16-9) visit Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (14-12) on Feb. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Ann Arbor.

Michigan is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Michigan State vs. Michigan Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan State+2.5 -115O 134.5 -110+115
Michigan -2.5 -105U 134.5 -110-140

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 54.7% confidence.

Michigan State vs Michigan Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Michigan will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Michigan State and Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Michigan State have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 31 games (+10.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+7.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.25 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 90% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has gone 13-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).

  • 14-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 9.77% ROI
  • 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
  • 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has gone 12-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.99% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.62% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -11.91% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (415/1,097) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (215/563) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State is shooting 38% from three (153/404) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (894 assists/ 702 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 9.6 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/22 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (287 assists/ 212 TOs) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan is shooting 45% (280/628) in the second half this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 46%

Michigan is shooting 69% from the free throw line (281/408) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has forced 9.2 turnovers per game (148 turnovers/16 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 12.2

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (399/1,278) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Michigan State has averaged 5.0 steals per game (110 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (233/817) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (274 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Michigan has averaged 4.8 steals per game (152 steals/32 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 5.2 steals per game (114 steals/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Michigan has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,495 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.