Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 26

• Purdue is a -7.5 point favorite vs Michigan State
• Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
• Michigan State / Purdue TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan State Spartans visit Mackey Arena to take on the Purdue Boilermakers on Feb. 26. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in West Lafayette, IN.

Purdue is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-118).

The Michigan State vs. Purdue Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

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Michigan State vs. Purdue Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Purdue will win this college basketball game with 71.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan State vs Purdue Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 58.8% confidence for today’s game.

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Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 1% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.80 Units / 13% ROI)
• Michigan State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Michigan State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 away games (+1.60 Units / 14% ROI)

Purdue Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 2% ROI)
• Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 2% ROI)
• Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 13-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -4.36% ROI).

• 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.6 Units / 1.06% ROI
• 11-16 when betting the Over for -6.6 Units / -22.22% ROI
• 16-11 when betting the Under for +3.9 Units / 13.13% ROI

Purdue Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Purdue has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI).

• 22-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 0.78% ROI
• 13-14 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI
• 14-13 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has 572 offensive rebounds at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — most among Big 10 Teams

Michigan State has made 6.7 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 8.0

Michigan State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (502 assists/ 318 TOs) this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State is shooting 33% from three (415/1,248) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (532 assists/ 246 TOs) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.4

Purdue shot 41% from three (303/743) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue is shooting 41% from three (550/1,341) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Purdue has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (532 assists/ 246 TOs) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (535/1,759) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (444/1,120) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (331/1,164) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Michigan State has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (466/1,589) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends:

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Purdue forced 9.4 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/37 games) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Purdue forced 8.7 turnovers per game (244 turnovers/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.3

Purdue allowed an average of 1.11 points per shot (2,556 points/2,309 shots) last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

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