Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
  • Liberty is a -7.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Liberty TV channel: CBSSN

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Over/Under is 139.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+7.5 -115O 139.5 -115+260
Liberty -7.5 -105U 139.5 -105-350

Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 55.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 30 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 7-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.8 Units / 36.64% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.1 Units / 31.94% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 8-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 1.57% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.65 Units / -13.58% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 4.15% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee shot 30% from three (221/724) last season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Middle Tennessee averaged 65.0 points per game (2,014 points/31 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Middle Tennessee has averaged 10.4 assists per game (470 assists/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.6

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has a TS% of 52% since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (254 assists/ 152 TOs) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Liberty had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee averaged 5.3 steals per game (164 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Middle Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (82/307) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 31%

Middle Tennessee has allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty has allowed 59.1 points per game (827 points/14 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 70.1

Liberty has allowed 59.1 points per game (827 points/14 games) this season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Liberty has allowed an average of 1.03 points per shot (827 points/800 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Liberty has allowed 5.4 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.