Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Western Kentucky is a -3.5 point favorite vs Middle Tennessee
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Middle Tennessee / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00 pm in Bowling Green, KY.

Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Middle Tennessee+3.5 -110O 143.5 -110+145
Western Kentucky -3.5 -110U 143.5 -110-175

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 64.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+1.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Western Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.30 Units / 26% ROI)

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.4 Units / -27.47% ROI).

  • 9-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.75 Units / -20.67% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Western Kentucky has a 12-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.15 Units / -3.62% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.4 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee averaged 65.0 points per game (2,014 points/31 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 9.8 assists per game (305 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Middle Tennessee shot 30% from three (221/724) last season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky has a TS% of 44% this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Western Kentucky is shooting 39% (580/1,476) this season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Western Kentucky has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Western Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (301 assists/ 239 TOs) this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee has allowed 6.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.8

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee has allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (1,741 points/1,401 shots) this season — 5th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.25

Middle Tennessee allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,186 points/1,827 shots) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Western Kentucky allowed 8.4 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 43rd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Western Kentucky allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (2,398 points/2,023 shots) last season — 3rd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24

Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.