Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 25

Alabama head coach Nate Oats calls to his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Rutgers Wednesday, Nov. 27, 2024, in Las Vegas. (AP Photo/David Becker)
(AP Photo/David Becker)
  • Alabama is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 170.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Alabama TV channel: ESPN2

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Coleman Coliseum to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide on Feb. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Tuscaloosa, AL, USA.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Mississippi State vs. Alabama Over/Under is 170.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+8.5 -115O 170.5 -110+290
Alabama -8.5 -105U 170.5 -110-375

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 71.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama will cover the spread with 51.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+2.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+5.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+3.40 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.74 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -14.81% ROI).

  • 19-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 0.6% ROI
  • 15-12 when betting the Over for +1.75 Units / 5.89% ROI
  • 12-15 when betting the Under for -4.55 Units / -15.32% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 14-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.45 Units / -1.51% ROI).

  • 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 14-13 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -1.01% ROI
  • 13-14 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -8.08% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (216/683) this season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State averaged 38% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (697 free throw attempts/1,846 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 27th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Alabama has a 42% free throw rate (691 free throw attempts/1,657 field goal attempts) this season — 6th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Alabama made 11.1 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama averaged 89.1 points per game (3,028 points/34 games) last season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (248 steals/26 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (248 steals/26 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mississippi State has 248 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (794 rebounds/26 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.3

Alabama has averaged 5.9 steals per game (153 steals/26 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Alabama has allowed 44.2 points per game (1,149 points/26 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 37.1

Alabama averaged 27.3 defensive rebounds per game (927 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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