- Mississippi State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Arkansas
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- Mississippi State / Arkansas TV channel: SECN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Fayetteville, AR, AR, USA.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-102).
The Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | -1.5 -102 | O 148.5 -105 | -110 |
| Arkansas | +1.5 -118 | U 148.5 -115 | -110 |
Mississippi State vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 73.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+6.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Arkansas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 games (+12.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+2.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 13-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.6 Units / -16.97% ROI).
- 20-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.19% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.75 Units / 14.39% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.85 Units / -23.79% ROI
Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas has a 14-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.3 Units / -3.96% ROI).
- 19-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.4 Units / 2.01% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Over for -7.85 Units / -23.79% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Under for +4.75 Units / 14.39% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (312/457) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State is shooting 31% from three (245/790) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (895/1,302) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State averaged 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (401 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%
Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6
Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 36%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (278 steals/30 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9
Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (534 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8
Mississippi State has allowed 10.3 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (792 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.1
Arkansas averaged 5.9 steals per game (184 steals/31 games) last season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9
Arkansas has averaged 6.8 steals per game (416 steals/61 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas has averaged 7.2 steals per game (173 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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