- Mississippi State (20-11) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Florida (16-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 130.5 points
- Watch the game on SEC Network
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Florida Gators (16-15) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Nashville.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Florida Over/Under is 130.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Florida Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | -4.5 -115 | O 130.5 -105 | -225 |
| Florida | +4.5 -105 | U 130.5 -115 | +180 |
Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 56.3% confidence.
Mississippi State vs Florida Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and Florida, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games (+18.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
- Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+4.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has gone 16-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI).
- 14-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.11% ROI
- 12-19 when betting the Over for -8.9 Units / -26.1% ROI
- 19-12 when betting the Under for +5.8 Units / 17.01% ROI
Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida has gone 15-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -7.64% ROI).
- 13-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -12.58% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (260/417) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%
Mississippi State is shooting 26% from three (90/353) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Mississippi State is shooting 24% from three (53/223) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
Mississippi State has a TS% of 43% this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 47%
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida has averaged 5.2 turnovers per game (115 turnovers/22 games) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.1
Florida is shooting 31% from three (419/1,348) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Florida has averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (257 turnovers/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Florida is shooting 74% from the free throw line (807/1,095) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Mississippi State has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Power Conference teams
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (474 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida has averaged 6.5 steals per game (144 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Florida has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (517/1,323) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Florida has allowed 65.7 points per game (3,680 points/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.8
Florida has allowed 30.0 points per game (660 points/22 games) in the first half this season — tied for 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31.0
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