- Kentucky is a -10.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
- Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Mississippi State / Kentucky TV channel: SECN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Rupp Arena to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Jan. 10. Tip off is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Lexington, KY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State & all college basketball games with BetMGM
Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +10.5 -110 | O 154.5 -110 | 450 |
| Kentucky | -10.5 -110 | U 154.5 -110 | -625 |
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 77.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 61.8% confidence for today’s game.
Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.20 Units / 24% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Kentucky have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / -23.24% ROI).
- 10-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 0.63% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Over for +0.3 Units / 1.82% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Under for -1.8 Units / -10.91% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 6-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -0.63% ROI
- 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (414 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (115/384) this season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State has allowed 9.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.2
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (414 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 29.0 defensive rebounds per game (435 rebounds/15 games) this season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (115/384) this season — 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Mississippi State has allowed 9.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.2
Bet now on Kentucky vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM
More College Basketball Betting at
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting through the regular season and postseason. From futures like college basketball national championship odds and Final Four odds to team betting like Kentucky basketball odds, Arizona basketball odds, or Kansas basketball odds, there’s something for everyone.
The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.
