- LSU is a -6.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Mississippi State / LSU TV channel: SEC+
The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Pete Maravich Assembly Center to take on the LSU Tigers on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Baton Rouge, LA.
LSU is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).
The Mississippi State vs. LSU Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. LSU Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts LSU will win this college basketball game with 71.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs LSU Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts LSU will cover the spread with 56.5% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 14 away games (+11.90 Units / 77% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 10% ROI)
LSU Basketball Best Bets Today:
- LSU have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+1.60 Units / 0% ROI)
- LSU have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- LSU has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+1.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 6-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.3 Units / -42.56% ROI).
- 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.15 Units / -0.16% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Over for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 10-10 when betting the Under for -1 Units / -4.55% ROI
LSU Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
LSU has a 12-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.2 Units / 14.65% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.6 Units / 0.35% ROI
- 9-11 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -14.09% ROI
- 11-9 when betting the Under for +1.1 Units / 5% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (779/1,139) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%
Mississippi State has averaged 1.24 points per shot (4,257 points/3,420 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.34
Mississippi State is shooting 30% from three (319/1,069) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 31% from three (438/1,420) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%
LSU Offensive Stats & Trends:
LSU had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (371 assists/ 410 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
LSU averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/31 games) last season — 3rd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3
LSU has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (723 assists/ 651 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.4
LSU has averaged 1.18 points per shot (2,141 points/1,821 shots) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.26
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has forced 8.4 turnovers per game (101 turnovers/12 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.0
Mississippi State has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (567 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (61/226) in the second half this season — tied for best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%
LSU Defensive Stats & Trends:
LSU has forced 10.4 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/20 games) this season — tied for 38th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0
LSU has averaged 27.1 defensive rebounds per game (542 rebounds/20 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
LSU has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (90/239) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%
LSU averaged 8.0 steals per game (249 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
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