Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

Missouri head coach Dennis Gates greets fans before the start of an NCAA college basketball game against Texas A&M Saturday, Feb. 8, 2025, in Columbia, Mo. (AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
(AP Photo/L.G. Patterson)
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  • Missouri is a -7.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Mizzou Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30 pm in Columbia, MO.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-102).

The Mississippi State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+7.5 -118O 148.5 -110+240
Missouri -7.5 -102U 148.5 -110-300

Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 74.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+9.85 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.40 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 7-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.3 Units / -36.17% ROI).

  • 11-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 0.21% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 8-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.45 Units / -27.68% ROI).

  • 14-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.2 Units / 0.52% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 1.23 points per shot (1,633 points/1,328 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.37

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (779/1,139) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 1.11 points per shot (757 points/682 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (494/719) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 72%

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri had 27.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Missouri has a 47% free throw rate (986 free throw attempts/2,104 field goal attempts) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39%

Missouri averaged 1.46 points per shot (2,844 points/1,949 shots) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Missouri has averaged 1.43 points per shot (4,529 points/3,159 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.31

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has forced 8.3 turnovers per game (108 turnovers/13 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 11.0

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State has forced 9.4 turnovers per game (198 turnovers/21 games) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.7

Mississippi State has forced 9.4 turnovers per game (198 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.40 points per shot (3,384 points/2,421 shots) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.32

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.25 points per shot (3,983 points/3,190 shots) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.18


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