Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 13

No 24 from Missouri passing the NBA game ball
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  • Missouri is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 156.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Missouri TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Missouri Tigers on Mar. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Missouri is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. Missouri Over/Under is 156.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Missouri Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+3.5 -110O 156.5 -110+140
Missouri -3.5 -110U 156.5 -110-170

Mississippi State vs Missouri Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri will win this college basketball game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Missouri Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri will cover the spread with 66.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+4.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+13.20 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+12.75 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Missouri have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.04 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Missouri has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.6 Units / -10.23% ROI).

  • 21-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 0.19% ROI
  • 20-12 when betting the Over for +6.75 Units / 19.18% ROI
  • 12-20 when betting the Under for -10.05 Units / -28.55% ROI

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 4.86% ROI).

  • 21-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.75 Units / 1.28% ROI
  • 19-12 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 16.64% ROI
  • 12-19 when betting the Under for -8.85 Units / -26.07% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (475 assists/ 329 TOs) this season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mississippi State is shooting 69% from the free throw line (911/1,323) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 79.6 points per game (2,468 points/31 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.8

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has 27.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Missouri has a 47% free throw rate (836 free throw attempts/1,781 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 37%

Missouri has averaged 1.47 points per shot (2,621 points/1,781 shots) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.29

Missouri has 27.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.7

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has allowed 10.2 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.6 steals per game (539 steals/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State has 283 steals this season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has allowed an average of 1.39 points per shot (3,461 points/2,488 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri has averaged 9.6 steals per game (299 steals/31 games) this season — tied for best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.9

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.