Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

A coach signalling to players holding two fingers up in the air.
(AP Photo)
  • Mississippi State is a -3.5 point favorite vs Oklahoma
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Oklahoma TV channel: SECN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit Lloyd Noble Center to take on the Oklahoma Sooners on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Norman, OK, USA.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-3.5 -115O 149.5 -110-185
Oklahoma +3.5 -105U 149.5 -110+150

Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+8.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+2.60 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+7.85 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 12-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -11.54% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 0.84% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.75 Units / 2.62% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.45 Units / -12.06% ROI

Oklahoma Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Oklahoma has a 11-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.45 Units / -19.09% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 0.47% ROI
  • 14-12 when betting the Over for +0.8 Units / 2.79% ROI
  • 12-14 when betting the Under for -3.35 Units / -11.73% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (827/1,215) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (467/697) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State shot 68% from the free throw line (472/697) last season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Mississippi State averaged 13.0 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 31st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma had 110 turnovers in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams

Oklahoma averaged 6.1 turnovers per game (110 turnovers/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 4.2

Oklahoma averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (194 turnovers/18 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 8.7

Oklahoma had a TS% of 51% in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (248 steals/26 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State has averaged 8.7 steals per game (504 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (248 steals/26 games) this season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends:

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 48% (160/331) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (23/57) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Oklahoma allowed opponents to shoot 54% on catch and shoot opportunities (135/252) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Oklahoma allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (69 points/57 shots) on right wing attemps last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.95


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