Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 14

• Ole Miss is a -3.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
• Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
• Mississippi State / Ole Miss TV channel: ESPN2

The Mississippi State Bulldogs visit The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss to take on the Ole Miss Rebels on Feb. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30 pm in Oxford, MS.

Ole Miss is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ole Miss will win this college basketball game with 66.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Ole Miss Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ole Miss will cover the spread with 55.3% confidence for today’s game.

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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 71% ROI)
• Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
• Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Ole Miss Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Ole Miss has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Ole Miss have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Ole Miss has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+1.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 8-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.5 Units / -36.19% ROI).

• 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -0.2% ROI
• 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
• 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI

Ole Miss Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ole Miss has a 8-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.55 Units / -36.38% ROI).

• 11-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -0.2% ROI
• 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI
• 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has a 31% free throw rate (684 free throw attempts/2,220 field goal attempts) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi State has averaged 1.26 points per shot (2,842 points/2,261 shots) at home since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.38

Mississippi State has averaged 1.22 points per shot (1,844 points/1,515 shots) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.36

Mississippi State is shooting 30% from three (335/1,112) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Ole Miss Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has averaged 4.6 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/90 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 5.3

Ole Miss has averaged 73.9 points per game (1,773 points/24 games) this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 83.9

Ole Miss has averaged 32.6 points per game (782 points/24 games) in the first half this season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 39.5

Ole Miss has averaged 9.7 turnovers per game (877 turnovers/90 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three (71/260) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (180/592) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (235/771) last season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi State allowed 9.8 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 8.0

Ole Miss Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ole Miss has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (196/590) this season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Ole Miss has allowed 73.0 points per game (1,752 points/24 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 75.5

Ole Miss has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (6,528 points/5,148 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Ole Miss averaged 8.1 steals per game (242 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 42nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

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