Mississippi State vs South Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 31

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 31, 2023, 11:36 AM
  • Mississippi State (13-8) are Mississippi St -9.5 point favorites vs South Carolina (8-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
  • Watch the game on SEC Network

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-8) visit Colonial Life Arena to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks (8-13) on Jan. 31. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Columbia.

Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Over/Under is 126.5 total points.

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Mississippi State vs. South Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State-9.5 -110O 126.5 -110-500
South Carolina +9.5 -110U 126.5 -110+375

Mississippi State vs South Carolina Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this game with 68.5% confidence.

Mississippi State vs South Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts South Carolina will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Mississippi State and South Carolina, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 33 games (+18.30 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games (+14.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • South Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has gone 9-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -7.43% ROI
  • 6-15 when betting the Over for -10.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • 15-6 when betting the Under for +8.4 Units / 36.36% ROI

South Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Carolina has gone 10-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -9.31% ROI).

  • 7-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.9 Units / 18.41% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.05 Units / -8.89% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 28% from three (125/443) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (251/405) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 72%

Mississippi State is shooting 62% from the free throw line (251/405) this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State has averaged 1.14 points per shot (1,378 points/1,214 shots) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.25

South Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has averaged 1.13 points per shot (3,550 points/3,155 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

South Carolina has averaged 1.09 points per shot (1,350 points/1,243 shots) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.25

South Carolina has averaged 1.13 points per shot (2,277 points/2,008 shots) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

South Carolina is shooting 40% (492/1,243) this season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has 194 steals this season — 6th most among Power Conference teams

Mississippi State has averaged 9.0 steals per game (307 steals/34 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 8.1

Mississippi State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (194 steals/21 games) this season — 3rd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Mississippi State has averaged 8.4 steals per game (463 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 15th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

South Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (290/606) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 40%

South Carolina has allowed opponents to shoot 47% (580/1,232) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%

South Carolina has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (485 rebounds/21 games) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

South Carolina has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (741 points/606 shots) in the first half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.07


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.