Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

• Alabama State is a -14.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
• Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
• Mississippi Valley State / Alabama State TV channel: ESPN+

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils visit Dunn-Oliver Acadome to take on the Alabama State Hornets on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 pm in Montgomery, AL.

Alabama State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama State will win this college basketball game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi Valley State vs Alabama State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 65.7% confidence for today’s game.

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Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 away games (+7.30 Units / 183% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Alabama State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 7 games at home (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
• Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
• Alabama State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 20 games (+5.65 Units / 19% ROI)
• Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• Alabama State have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 12-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• 0-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -19 Units / -100% ROI
• 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI
• 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 3.41% ROI

Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama State has a 11-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.3 Units / -12.5% ROI).

• 7-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.15 Units / -0.37% ROI
• 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.4 Units / -20.45% ROI
• 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.36% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 57.6 points per game (4,781 points/83 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 70.5

Mississippi Valley State is shooting 30% from three (265/887) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Mississippi Valley State averaged 54.1 points per game (1,678 points/31 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.4

Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Alabama State had an eFG% of 42% last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Alabama State shot 28% from three (211/751) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.62 points per shot (503 points/310 shots) this season — tied for highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.33

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 19.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,601 rebounds/83 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (198/482) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.58 points per shot (1,619 points/1,022 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.30

Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 41% (664/1,602) last season — best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Alabama State has forced 14.0 turnovers per game (351 turnovers/25 games) this season — 3rd best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 12.7

Alabama State has allowed an average of 1.36 points per shot (1,959 points/1,439 shots) this season — tied for 4th highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.36

Alabama State allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (228/677) last season — 5th best among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 34%

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