Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

• Alcorn State is a -9.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
• Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
• Mississippi Valley State / Alcorn State TV channel: ESPN+

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils visit Davey L. Whitney Complex to take on the Alcorn State Braves on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00 pm in Lorman, MS.

Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Alcorn State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Alcorn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this college basketball game with 75.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi Valley State vs Alcorn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alcorn State will cover the spread with 59.4% confidence for today’s game.

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Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Mississippi Valley State has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+12.10 Units / 403% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)

Alcorn State Basketball Best Bets Today:

• Alcorn State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+8.85 Units / 95% ROI)
• Alcorn State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
• Alcorn State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Alcorn State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alcorn State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.10 Units / 12% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 14-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI).

• 2-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -37.08% ROI
• 13-16 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -14.42% ROI
• 16-13 when betting the Under for +1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI

Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alcorn State has a 16-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.9 Units / 12.7% ROI).

• 7-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -8.39% ROI
• 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
• 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Mississippi Valley State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (240 assists/ 418 TOs) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (848 assists/ 1,317 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Mississippi Valley State is shooting 30% from three (290/981) since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has 16.9 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.0

Alcorn State made 5.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alcorn State has a 29% free throw rate (473 free throw attempts/1,610 field goal attempts) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 38%

Alcorn State had 22.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 20.4

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (198/482) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi Valley State allowed an average of 1.54 points per shot (648 points/420 shots) last season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.58 points per shot (1,151 points/730 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.31

Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has allowed an average of 1.55 points per shot (790 points/511 shots) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.32

Alcorn State allowed 9.6 made three-pointers per game last season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Alcorn State has allowed opponents to shoot 50% (811/1,614) this season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 46%

Alcorn State has allowed opponents to shoot 53% (272/511) this season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 46%

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