Mississippi Valley State vs Liberty Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 7

A basketball coach with a red t-shirt with a LU logo printed on it
(AP Photo)
  • Liberty is a -35.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
  • Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
  • Mississippi Valley State / Liberty TV channel: ESPN+

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Dec. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Lynchburg, VA.

Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -35.5 (-105).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 124.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi Valley State+35.5 -115O 124.5 -115+
Liberty -35.5 -105U 124.5 -105+

Mississippi Valley State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi Valley State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.51 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 away games (+3.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 20 away games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.89 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Liberty have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Liberty has hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 28 games (+0.27 Units / 1% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 3-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -19.23% ROI).

  • 0-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.45 Units / -45.39% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 35.26% ROI

Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Liberty has a 6-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 63.64% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.95 Units / 34.9% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Mississippi Valley State had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (240 assists/ 418 TOs) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9

Mississippi Valley State had a TS% of 40% last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Mississippi Valley State shot 43% from inside the arc (245/569) last season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty had an eFG% of 56% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 51%

Liberty had a TS% of 51% last season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 47%

Liberty made 10.2 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Liberty shot 60% from inside the arc (323/537) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State averaged 6.5 steals per game (182 steals/28 games) last season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Mississippi Valley State allowed an average of 1.43 points per shot (2,205 points/1,546 shots) last season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.31

Mississippi Valley State allowed opponents to shoot 49% (764/1,546) last season — highest among SWAC Teams ; League Avg: 45%

Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:

Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (170/546) last season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Liberty allowed 65.4 points per game (1,961 points/30 games) last season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Liberty allowed opponents to shoot 43% (720/1,672) last season — 5th highest among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 43%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.