Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

Arkansas head coach John Calipari reacts during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024, in Kansas City, Mo. (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Arkansas is a -9.5 point favorite vs Missouri
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Missouri / Arkansas TV channel: ESPN

The Missouri Tigers visit Bud Walton Arena to take on the Arkansas Razorbacks on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00 pm in Fayetteville, AR.

Arkansas is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Missouri vs. Arkansas Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Missouri vs. Arkansas Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri+9.5 -105O 160.5 -115+375
Arkansas -9.5 -115U 160.5 -105-500

Missouri vs Arkansas Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Arkansas will win this college basketball game with 76.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri vs Arkansas Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Missouri Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Arkansas has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Missouri Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has a 45% free throw rate (1,560 free throw attempts/3,433 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2024-25 season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri had 27.0 free throw attempts per game last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Missouri is shooting 66% from the free throw line (312/471) on the road since the start of the 2024-25 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Missouri averaged 1.46 points per shot (2,844 points/1,949 shots) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.26

Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (219 assists/ 103 TOs) in the second half this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.5

Arkansas has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (445 assists/ 237 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Arkansas averaged 46% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (815 free throw attempts/1,789 field goal attempts) last season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%

Arkansas had 26.3 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.6

Missouri Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (735/2,117) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (351/1,026) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri allowed an average of 1.41 points per shot (1,831 points/1,294 shots) last season — 4th highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.28

Missouri averaged 21.7 defensive rebounds per game (674 rebounds/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Arkansas allowed an average of 1.30 points per shot (2,495 points/1,922 shots) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (206/662) this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas allowed 80.5 points per game (2,495 points/31 games) last season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73.6


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