Missouri State vs Bradley Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 4

Bradley coach Brian Wardle talks to his team as they play against Arkansas during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022, in North Little Rock, Ark.
(AP Photo/Michael Woods)
  • Bradley is a -11.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Missouri State / Bradley TV channel: CBSSN

The Missouri State Bears visit Carver Arena to take on the Bradley Braves on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Peoria, IL.

Bradley is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).

The Missouri State vs. Bradley Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Bradley Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+11.5 -110O 133.5 -115+500
Bradley -11.5 -110U 133.5 -105-700

Missouri State vs Bradley Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Bradley will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Bradley Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 55.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.90 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 17 away games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 18 games at home (+15.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Bradley have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Bradley has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.26 Units / 11% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 7-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.5 Units / 11.41% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -17.15% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI

Bradley Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bradley has a 6-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.6 Units / -4.2% ROI).

  • 11-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +9 Units / 1.57% ROI
  • 10-3 when betting the Over for +6.7 Units / 47.02% ROI
  • 3-10 when betting the Under for -8.05 Units / -56.1% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 12.4 assists per game (173 assists/14 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 14.8

Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Missouri State is shooting 70% from the free throw line (624/894) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72%

Bradley Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley is shooting 43% from three (156/360) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bradley has a TS% of 54% this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 48%

Bradley has an eFG% of 59% this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Bradley is shooting 39% from three (436/1,118) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Missouri State has forced 14.1 turnovers per game (197 turnovers/14 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Bradley Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bradley has averaged 7.6 steals per game (350 steals/46 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Bradley averaged 7.3 steals per game (234 steals/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Bradley has averaged 8.3 steals per game (116 steals/14 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Bradley has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (98/325) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%


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