- Missouri State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Evansville
- Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
- Missouri State / Evansville TV channel: ESPN+
The Missouri State Bears visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces on Dec. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Evansville, IN.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Missouri State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 135.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri State | -4.5 -110 | O 135.5 -110 | -200 |
| Evansville | +4.5 -110 | U 135.5 -110 | +165 |
Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Missouri State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 away games (+3.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+8.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 33.79% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 11.79% ROI
- 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has a 3-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.75 Units / -47.72% ROI).
- 2-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -61.85% ROI
- 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
- 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State has averaged 12.2 assists per game (147 assists/12 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 15.2
Missouri State averaged 1.22 points per shot (2,192 points/1,799 shots) last season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 65.6 points per game (787 points/12 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 78.1
Evansville averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (546 free throw attempts/1,937 field goal attempts) last season — tied for 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%
Evansville is shooting 28% from three (90/322) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Evansville has averaged 8.0 offensive rebounds per game (96 rebounds/12 games) this season — 28th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.6
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Missouri State has forced 14.8 turnovers per game (177 turnovers/12 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville averaged 6.6 steals per game (218 steals/33 games) last season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2
Evansville stole the ball 218 times last season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams
Evansville has averaged 6.5 steals per game (78 steals/12 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 7.1
Evansville has 296 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams
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