- Missouri State (13-12) are -8.5 point favorites vs Evansville (5-21)
- Total (Over/Under): 131.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN+
The Missouri State Bears (13-12) visit Ford Center to take on the Evansville Purple Aces (5-21) on Feb. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Evansville.
Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Missouri State vs. Evansville Over/Under is 131.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Evansville Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
Missouri State | -8.5 -110 | O 131.5 -110 | -400 |
Evansville | +8.5 -110 | U 131.5 -110 | +310 |
Missouri State vs Evansville Prediction for Today’s Game:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this game with 69.5% confidence.
Missouri State vs Evansville Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri State and Evansville, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 22 away games (+3.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+3.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Evansville Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Evansville has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games at home (+5.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- Evansville has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Evansville have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has gone 11-12 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / 0% ROI).
- 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -6.41% ROI
- 9-15 when betting the Over for -7.55 Units / -28.54% ROI
- 15-9 when betting the Under for +5.1 Units / 19.35% ROI
Evansville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Evansville has gone 10-14 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / 0% ROI).
- 7-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -13.61% ROI
- 17-9 when betting the Over for +7.1 Units / 24.83% ROI
- 9-17 when betting the Under for -9.7 Units / -33.92% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has 15.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1
Missouri State has averaged 66.2 points per game (1,523 points/23 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8
Missouri State has a TS% of 50% since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Missouri State has averaged 11.4 assists per game (262 assists/23 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.7
Evansville Offensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has a TS% of 42% this season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Evansville has averaged 62.4 points per game (1,497 points/24 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 69.8
Evansville has an eFG% of 46% this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Evansville is shooting 40% (544/1,360) this season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has allowed 63.2 points per game (1,454 points/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (407/1,239) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has allowed 66.6 points per game (3,796 points/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.5
Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,356/3,213) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%
Evansville Defensive Stats & Trends:
Evansville has averaged 6.5 steals per game (155 steals/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Evansville has allowed 75.8 points per game (1,818 points/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Evansville has allowed opponents to shoot 48% (644/1,352) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 43%
Evansville has allowed 8.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2
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