- Illinois State is a -5.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Missouri State / Illinois State TV channel: ESPN+
The Missouri State Bears visit Enterprise Center to take on the Illinois State Redbirds on Mar. 6. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EST in St. Louis, MO, USA.
Illinois State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Missouri State vs. Illinois State Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Illinois State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri State | +5.5 -110 | O 132.5 -115 | +190 |
| Illinois State | -5.5 -110 | U 132.5 -105 | -235 |
Missouri State vs Illinois State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Illinois State will win this college basketball game with 79.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Missouri State vs Illinois State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Missouri State will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.60 Units / 5% ROI)
Illinois State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- Illinois State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+3.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.34% ROI).
- 7-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.15 Units / -47.22% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.82% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.35 Units / -1.1% ROI
Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois State has a 17-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.85 Units / 11.7% ROI).
- 17-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 20-10 when betting the Over for +9 Units / 27.23% ROI
- 10-20 when betting the Under for -11.95 Units / -36.27% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (380 assists/ 425 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (748 assists/ 800 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State is shooting 39% from three (304/779) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Illinois State has made 10.1 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.8
Illinois State has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (232 rebounds/30 games) this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0
Illinois State has 16.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has forced 13.0 turnovers per game (402 turnovers/31 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Missouri State averaged 4.4 steals per game (135 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (171 steals/30 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Illinois State has allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 21st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Illinois State has forced 10.9 turnovers per game (326 turnovers/30 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (267/730) this season — tied for 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
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