- Liberty is a -9.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
- Total (Over/Under): 139.5 points
- Missouri State / Liberty TV channel: CBSN
The Missouri State Bears visit Liberty Arena to take on the Liberty Flames on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Lynchburg, VA.
Liberty is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Missouri State vs. Liberty Over/Under is 139.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Liberty Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Missouri State | +9.5 -115 | O 139.5 -115 | +360 |
| Liberty | -9.5 -105 | U 139.5 -105 | -475 |
Missouri State vs Liberty Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Liberty will win this college basketball game with 75.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Missouri State vs Liberty Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Liberty will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence for today’s game.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
Liberty Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Liberty has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 31 games (+18.80 Units / 3% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Liberty has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Liberty have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 3.29% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
Liberty Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Liberty has a 10-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.05 Units / 0.24% ROI).
- 16-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.75 Units / 2.41% ROI
- 10-9 when betting the Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
- 9-10 when betting the Under for -2 Units / -9.57% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State shot 31% from three (209/680) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Missouri State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (1,069 assists/ 1,068 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 10th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Missouri State has made 7.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for 4th lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 8.1
Missouri State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (368 assists/ 375 TOs) last season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Liberty Offensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (178 turnovers/21 games) this season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Liberty has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,432 assists/ 839 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Liberty is shooting 49% (2,365/4,836) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 44%
Liberty has averaged 9.8 turnovers per game (839 turnovers/86 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (519 rebounds/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Conference USA Teams; League Avg: 25.3
Missouri State allowed opponents to shoot 42% (805/1,937) last season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Liberty Defensive Stats & Trends:
Liberty has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,421 points/1,200 shots) this season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.25
Liberty allowed 5.7 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Liberty has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (3,640 points/3,231 shots) since the start of the 2024-25 season — best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.23
Liberty allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (2,219 points/2,031 shots) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
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