Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 5

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 9:46 AM
  • Southern Illinois (17-7) are -5.5 point favorites vs Missouri State (12-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 121.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (12-11) visit Banterra Center to take on the Southern Illinois Salukis (17-7) on Feb. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Carbondale.

Southern Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Over/Under is 121.5 total points.

Bet now on Southern Illinois vs Missouri State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Missouri State vs. Southern Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+5.5 -115O 121.5 -110+175
Southern Illinois -5.5 -105U 121.5 -110-210

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Southern Illinois will win this game with 61.0% confidence.

Missouri State vs Southern Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Southern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Missouri State and Southern Illinois, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on Southern Illinois vs Missouri State and all games with BetMGM


  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 21 away games (+4.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+3.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Southern Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has gone 11-11 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.95 Units / -6.67% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.45 Units / -30.72% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.2 Units / 21.53% ROI

Southern Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Southern Illinois has gone 9-13 against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 5.73% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -8.7% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.4% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has averaged 66.2 points per game (1,523 points/23 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.8

Missouri State has averaged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (251 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Missouri State has averaged 11.4 assists per game (262 assists/23 games) this season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Missouri State has 251 offensive rebounds this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Southern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (154 rebounds/24 games) this season — 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.5

Southern Illinois is shooting 32% from three (191/600) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Southern Illinois has 15.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.1

Southern Illinois has averaged 65.1 points per game (3,580 points/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71.2

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed 63.2 points per game (1,454 points/23 games) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 69.6

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (1,356/3,213) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 44%

Missouri State has allowed 63.2 points per game (1,454 points/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 68.1

Missouri State has averaged 6.9 steals per game (158 steals/23 games) this season — 5th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Southern Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Southern Illinois has 187 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.8 steals per game (187 steals/24 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Southern Illinois has averaged 7.8 steals per game (187 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Southern Illinois has averaged 6.5 steals per game (358 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.5


Bet now on Southern Illinois vs Missouri State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.