- Western Kentucky is a -6.5 point favorite vs Missouri State
- Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
- Missouri State / Western Kentucky TV channel: ESPN+
The Missouri State Bears visit E.A. Diddle Arena to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers on Jan. 14. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Bowling Green, KY.
Western Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).
The Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky Over/Under is 148.5 total points.
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Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Western Kentucky will win this college basketball game with 71.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Missouri State vs Western Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Western Kentucky will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Missouri State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Missouri State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.85 Units / 9% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- Missouri State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 28 games (+2.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Western Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Western Kentucky have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- Western Kentucky has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 29 games (+1.70 Units / 5% ROI)
Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Missouri State has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -11.93% ROI).
- 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -1.37% ROI
- 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Western Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Western Kentucky has a 8-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 5.48% ROI
- 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State has allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.6
Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Western Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (2,005/4,844) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Missouri State allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (2,189 points/1,937 shots) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Missouri State averaged 29.1 defensive rebounds per game (902 rebounds/31 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Missouri State has allowed 6.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 7.6
Missouri State forced 9.2 turnovers per game (285 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Western Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Western Kentucky averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (899 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Western Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 42% (845/2,023) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Western Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (2,005/4,844) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Western Kentucky forced 13.6 turnovers per game (436 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
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