- Montana is a -7.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
- Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
- Montana / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+
The Montana Grizzlies visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets on Feb. 27. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.
Montana is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Montana vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 142.5 total points.
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Montana vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Montana | -7.5 -115 | O 142.5 -115 | -350 |
| Sacramento State | +7.5 -105 | U 142.5 -105 | +280 |
Montana vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Montana will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Montana vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Montana will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence for today’s game.
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Montana Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Montana has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Montana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Montana has hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Montana has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- Montana has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.35 Units / 40% ROI)
Sacramento State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games at home (+1.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Montana Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Montana has a 13-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 7.27% ROI).
- 17-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 18.67% ROI
- 16-9 when betting the Over for +6.1 Units / 22.14% ROI
- 9-16 when betting the Under for -8.55 Units / -31.15% ROI
Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Sacramento State has a 10-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.4 Units / -20.42% ROI).
- 4-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -48.76% ROI
- 10-14 when betting the Over for -5.45 Units / -20.6% ROI
- 14-10 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 11.39% ROI
Montana Offensive Stats & Trends:
Montana had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (508 assists/ 341 TOs) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Montana averaged 7.5 offensive rebounds per game (256 rebounds/34 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Montana has averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (188 rebounds/28 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.1
Montana had an eFG% of 55% last season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Sacramento State has 800 turnovers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big Sky Teams
Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams
Sacramento State averaged 67.6 points per game (2,096 points/31 games) last season — 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Sacramento State averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (432 turnovers/31 games) last season — 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Montana Defensive Stats & Trends:
Montana forced 9.3 turnovers per game (317 turnovers/34 games) last season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Montana allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (212/636) last season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 34%
Montana allowed 6.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Montana has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5
Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Sacramento State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/28 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1
Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Sacramento State has allowed 8.7 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6
Sacramento State allowed 71.1 points per game (2,203 points/31 games) last season — 5th highest among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 72.5
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