- Kansas State (23-9) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Montana State (25-9)
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Watch the game on CBS
The #14 seed Montana State Bobcats (25-9) visit Greensboro Coliseum to take on the #3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (23-9) on Mar. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Greensboro.
Kansas State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Montana State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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Montana State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Montana State | +8.5 -115 | O 138.5 -105 | +300 |
| Kansas State | -8.5 -105 | U 138.5 -115 | -400 |
Montana State vs Kansas State Prediction for March Madness:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this March Madness game with 68.6% confidence.
Montana State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Montana State and Kansas State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Montana State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 50 games (+26.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 50 games (+11.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- Montana State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Montana State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- Montana State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Kansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kansas State has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 46 games (+16.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+9.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.40 Units / 4% ROI)
Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Montana State has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 0% ROI).
- 24-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 12.08% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
Kansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kansas State has gone 20-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- 21-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.55 Units / 17.81% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Montana State has a 39% free throw rate (516 free throw attempts/1,319 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 32%
Montana State has 21.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 18.0
Montana State has attempted 516 free throws this season — most among Big Sky Teams
Montana State has averaged 1.37 points per shot (4,475 points/3,271 shots) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kansas State has averaged 1.31 points per shot (756 points/576 shots) in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.21
Kansas St. attempted 363 threes in half court possessions last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas St. attempted 301 threes in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams
Kansas St. made 109 three-pointers in possessions with two passes or less last season in conference play — most among Big 12 Teams
Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Montana State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (568 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1
Montana State has averaged 6.6 steals per game (158 steals/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 5.7
Montana State has 158 steals this season — 2nd most among Big Sky Teams
Montana State has averaged 24.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,447 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.7
Kansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kansas St. allowed 31.6 points per game (664 points/21 games) in possessions with two to five passes last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 28.4
Kansas St. forced 1.1 turnovers per game (23 turnovers/21 games) in possessions with at least six passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 0.7
Kansas St. allowed 55.0 points per game (1,155 points/21 games) in half court possessions last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 50.5
Kansas State has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (87/312) this season — 5th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%
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