Montana State vs Northern Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 11

Northern Colorado head coach Steve Smiley yells plays to his players during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Houston, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
(AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
  • Northern Colorado is a -5.5 point favorite vs Montana State
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Montana State / Northern Colorado TV channel: ESPNU

The Montana State Bobcats visit Idaho Central Arena to take on the Northern Colorado Bears on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Boise, ID, USA.

Northern Colorado is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Montana State vs. Northern Colorado Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Montana State vs. Northern Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Montana State+5.5 -110O 143.5 -110+185
Northern Colorado -5.5 -110U 143.5 -110-225

Montana State vs Northern Colorado Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Northern Colorado will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Montana State vs Northern Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Northern Colorado will cover the spread with 60.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Montana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+2.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Northern Colorado have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has a 13-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.85 Units / -20.06% ROI).

  • 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.1 Units / -10.74% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -7.62% ROI

Northern Colorado Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Colorado has a 15-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 2.03% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.05 Units / 9.51% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Over for +5.85 Units / 18.28% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Under for -8.75 Units / -27.52% ROI

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State made 301 three-pointers last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (209 rebounds/33 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Montana State has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (403 rebounds/64 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Montana State attempted 820 threes last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Northern Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has averaged 81.1 points per game (2,595 points/32 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Northern Colorado is shooting 61% from inside the arc (569/936) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 54%

Northern Colorado is shooting 38% from three (274/728) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Colorado is shooting 61% from inside the arc (569/936) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State stole the ball 276 times last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State averaged 8.4 steals per game (276 steals/33 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Montana State has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 7.3

Montana State averaged 22.6 defensive rebounds per game (746 rebounds/33 games) last season — 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Northern Colorado Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Colorado has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,605 rebounds/63 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.3

Northern Colorado averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (806 rebounds/31 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.5

Northern Colorado has averaged 25.0 defensive rebounds per game (799 rebounds/32 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Northern Colorado averaged 6.4 steals per game (197 steals/31 games) last season — 5th lowest among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.