Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 28, 2023, 1:16 PM
  • Montana State (14-8) are -3.5 point favorites vs Sacramento State (12-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Montana State Bobcats (14-8) visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets (12-9) on Jan. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Montana State vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Montana State vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Montana State-3.5 -115O 129.5 -110-185
Sacramento State +3.5 -105U 129.5 -110+150

Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Montana State will win this game with 55.8% confidence.

Montana State vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Montana State will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Montana State and Sacramento State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Montana State has hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 45 games (+21.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 away games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Montana State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has gone 15-4 against the spread this college basketball season (+10.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.6 Units / 4.73% ROI
  • 7-13 when betting the Over for -7.3 Units / -33.18% ROI
  • 13-7 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 24.09% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has gone 10-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 10-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 18.2% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting the Over for -4.1 Units / -19.57% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting the Under for +2.25 Units / 10.79% ROI

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has a 38% free throw rate (1,216 free throw attempts/3,167 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 30%

Montana State has a TS% of 49% this season — tied for 43rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Montana State has a 38% free throw rate (467 free throw attempts/1,215 field goal attempts) this season — 16th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Montana State has 21.2 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has 15.4 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 32nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.0

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (325 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Montana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (145/454) this season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Montana State has allowed 6.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 5.2 steals per game (110 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Sacramento State has allowed an average of 1.14 points per shot (1,391 points/1,224 shots) this season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Sacramento State has forced 9.8 turnovers per game (206 turnovers/21 games) this season — tied for 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.9


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.