Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

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  • Montana State is a -6.5 point favorite vs Sacramento State
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Montana State / Sacramento State TV channel: ESPN+

The Montana State Bobcats visit The Nest to take on the Sacramento State Hornets on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.

Montana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-105).

The Montana State vs. Sacramento State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Montana State vs. Sacramento State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Montana State-6.5 -105O 135.5 -115-275
Sacramento State +6.5 -115U 135.5 -105+220

Montana State vs Sacramento State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Montana State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Montana State vs Sacramento State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Montana State will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Montana State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.50 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Montana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Sacramento State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Sacramento State have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.60 Units / 2% ROI)

Montana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Montana State has a 10-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-9.85 Units / -31.93% ROI).

  • 11-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -17.91% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 14-14 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Sacramento State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Sacramento State has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.4 Units / -15.97% ROI).

  • 4-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -50.8% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting the Over for -6.55 Units / -23.78% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting the Under for +4 Units / 14.57% ROI

Montana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State attempted 820 threes last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 6.4 offensive rebounds per game (186 rebounds/29 games) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Montana State made 301 three-pointers last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (275 turnovers/29 games) this season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Sacramento State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has 808 turnovers since the start of the 2023-24 season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State had 337 offensive rebounds last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Sacramento State has averaged 66.7 points per game (1,933 points/29 games) this season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.9

Sacramento State has 376 turnovers this season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Montana State stole the ball 276 times last season — most among Big Sky Teams

Montana State has allowed 5.5 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Montana State averaged 8.4 steals per game (276 steals/33 games) last season — best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Montana State averaged 8.4 steals per game (276 steals/33 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Sacramento State has averaged 23.5 defensive rebounds per game (682 rebounds/29 games) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams; League Avg: 23.1

Sacramento State averaged 5.1 steals per game (158 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Sacramento State has averaged 5.5 steals per game (332 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 15th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Sacramento State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (246/720) this season — 4th best among Big Sky Teams ; League Avg: 34%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.