Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 28

A coach in a tracksuit shouting encouragement to his team
(AP Photo)
  • Mount St. Mary’s is a -1.5 point favorite vs Fairfield
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Mount St. Mary’s / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags on Feb. 28. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Fairfield, CT, USA.

Mount St. Mary’s is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Mount St. Mary’s vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mount St. Mary’s-1.5 -110O 140.5 -115-140
Fairfield +1.5 -110U 140.5 -105+115

Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mount St. Mary’s will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 away games (+18.55 Units / 96% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 17 away games (+4.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 17 away games (+1.75 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.55 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Fairfield have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.15 Units / 11% ROI)

Mount St. Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary’s has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5 Units / 17.45% ROI).

  • 16-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +19.9 Units / 50.9% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -3.87% ROI
  • 13-13 when betting the Under for -1.3 Units / -4.51% ROI

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 10-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.65 Units / -23.13% ROI).

  • 9-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -23.05% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -8.03% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.53% ROI

Mount St. Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Mount St. Mary’s had an eFG% of 53% last season — tied for best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 50%

Mount St. Mary’s had a TS% of 49% last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.5 turnovers per game (798 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.3 (459 assists/ 367 TOs) last season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fairfield made 310 three-pointers last season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has averaged 67.6 points per game (1,825 points/27 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 69.5

Mount St. Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/27 games) this season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mount St. Mary’s has forced 11.5 turnovers per game (310 turnovers/27 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 11.6

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (685/1,639) this season — 3rd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (664 rebounds/28 games) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.9

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Fairfield averaged 8.5 steals per game (296 steals/35 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Fairfield stole the ball 296 times last season — most among MAAC Teams

Fairfield has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (560 rebounds/27 games) this season — 4th lowest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4


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