Mount St. Mary’s vs Fairfield Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 1

(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
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  • Fairfield is a -4.5 point favorite vs Mount St. Mary’s
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Mount St. Mary’s / Fairfield TV channel: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers visit Leo D. Mahoney Arena to take on the Fairfield Stags on Mar. 1. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00 pm in Fairfield, CT.

Fairfield is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

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Mount St. Mary's vs. Fairfield Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mount St. Mary's+4.5 -110O 144.5 -110+165
Fairfield -4.5 -110U 144.5 -110-200

Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Fairfield will win this college basketball game with 70.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mount St. Mary's vs Fairfield Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fairfield will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 16 away games (+11.25 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.60 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Mount St. Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Fairfield has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.70 Units / 46% ROI)

Mount St. Mary's Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mount St. Mary's has a 16-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.8 Units / 8.79% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -5.53% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Over for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Under for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI

Fairfield Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fairfield has a 13-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.55 Units / -14.29% ROI).

  • 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 13.67% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI

Mount St. Mary's Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/29 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,357 turnovers/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 15.0 turnovers per game (434 turnovers/29 games) this season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Mount St. Mary’s has averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,357 turnovers/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Fairfield Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Fairfield has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (301 turnovers/30 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among MAAC Teams; League Avg: 11.0

Fairfield made 8.9 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Fairfield has an eFG% of 50% this season — tied for 41st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 52%

Mount St. Mary's Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (676/1,682) this season — best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s allowed opponents to shoot 44% (709/1,624) last season — 4th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 44%

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed an average of 1.23 points per shot (2,067 points/1,682 shots) this season — 5th highest among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 1.25

Mount St. Mary’s has allowed 71.0 points per game (6,599 points/93 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 71.0

Fairfield Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fairfield allowed opponents to shoot 46% (932/2,039) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fairfield averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (776 rebounds/35 games) last season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Fairfield has allowed opponents to shoot 46% (2,551/5,592) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Fairfield allowed 70.9 points per game (2,482 points/35 games) last season — 5th best among MAAC Teams ; League Avg: 70.0


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