Murray State vs Belmont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

The Bellmont Bruins coach shouting
(AP Photo)
  • Belmont is a -2.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Murray State / Belmont TV channel: CBSSN

The Murray State Racers visit Curb Event Center to take on the Belmont Bruins on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Nashville, TN, TN, USA.

Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Murray State vs. Belmont Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Belmont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+2.5 -105O 151.5 -115+125
Belmont -2.5 -115U 151.5 -105-150

Murray State vs Belmont Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 61.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Belmont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 68.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.42 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 away games (+3.06 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+4.30 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.07 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 13-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.5 Units / -10.97% ROI).

  • 14-15 when betting on the Moneyline for -6 Units / -3.79% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 8.78% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting the Under for -5.6 Units / -17.55% ROI

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 12-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -13.97% ROI).

  • 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.75 Units / 10.12% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8 Units / 25.08% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -34.17% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 11.0 assists per game (320 assists/29 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Murray State has 23.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Murray State has averaged 11.0 assists per game (320 assists/29 games) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (500 assists/ 319 TOs) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Belmont has averaged 17.2 assists per game (500 assists/29 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.7

Belmont has averaged 17.2 assists per game (500 assists/29 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 13.9

Belmont averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (223 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (368 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont averaged 7.3 steals per game (227 steals/31 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Belmont has averaged 7.1 steals per game (205 steals/29 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Belmont has 205 steals this season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (837 rebounds/31 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.