Murray State vs Drake Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 5

Drake Bulldogs head coach Darian DeVries watches his team from the sidelines.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Drake is a -9.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 126.5 points
  • Murray State / Drake TV channel: ESPN2

The Murray State Racers visit Knapp Center to take on the Drake Bulldogs on Jan. 5. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Des Moines, IA.

Drake is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-120).

The Murray State vs. Drake Over/Under is 126.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Drake Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+9.5 +100O 126.5 -105+425
Drake -9.5 -120U 126.5 -115-600

Murray State vs Drake Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Drake will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Drake Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Drake will cover the spread with 52.3% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.27 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.05 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+19.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+6.30 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Drake have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Drake has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+4.05 Units / 11% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 4-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.9 Units / -34.03% ROI).

  • 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -5.38% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 10.49% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -18.88% ROI

Drake Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Drake has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI).

  • 10-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 8.38% ROI
  • 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Murray State has 25.6 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.5

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State has made 26 two point field goals this season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake Offensive Stats & Trends:

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (515 assists/ 304 TOs) last season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Drake averaged 80.3 points per game (2,569 points/32 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Drake had an eFG% of 55% last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 7.4 steals per game (103 steals/14 games) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Murray State has allowed 5.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Murray State has 103 steals this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Drake Defensive Stats & Trends:

Drake stole the ball 206 times last season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Drake averaged 26.8 defensive rebounds per game (858 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Drake has averaged 7.1 steals per game (318 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Drake has 112 steals this season — 4th most among Missouri Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.